Tuesday, August 08, 2006

Ney Bombshell


The Bob Ney story should be massive, but seems to focus on just one or two reports at the moment.

I have put a background article on GP Daily which I hope fleshes the tale out a little. STORY HERE

Incumbency is King

“Incumbency is King” was the catch phrase of the coming mid terms, but events seem to overtaken the old truism of politics.

That’s the problem truisms; they are just one in a set of variables. So Ney swallows the poison pill, because his incumbency is clouded with scandal which reduced his race to tatters.

On the other side, geographically and politically, that old certainty Joe Lieberman doesn’t look very certain now. If he survives tomorrow it will be as a wounded duck, not the strong incumbent.

I still maintain that the November outcome will be based largely on economics. Not the esoteric stuff, but how the current economic dynamic affects individual voters, really practical applicable economics.

For Ney the voters seem to have spoken through the donation box, an increasingly sound indicator of preference. His fate is obviously bound up in the allegations of corruption dogging Washington incumbents.

Lieberman, on the other hand, appears to be hit be ‘friendly fire’ from his pro-war stance, and others will no doubt fall on the same sword.

But how much are these merely the presenting issues rather than the underlying? My betting is that incumbents, generally and across party lines, are on the nose; and any weak point will become the focus of punishment.

They are on the nose because voters are suffering where it hurts most; their dreams and aspirations, which have been driven by the politicians, are turning sour. Someone has to pay, and it will be incumbents.

5 comments:

Reality-Based Educator said...

Maybe people were surprised he lasted this long. I think of all the Abramoff-tied guys, "Representative #1" was definitely the one looking at legal problems hitting him before they hit anyone else.

Cartledge said...

Sorry RBE, I was adding to that post as you commented.
But yes, he was always going to be the first target. Now we can watch to see how many more are gunned down.

Lew Scannon said...

Like Clinton said, "It's the economy, stupid." More and more Americans are watching their jobs being shipped overseas while the incumbents rage on in a wild spending spree with tax payer money. The war in Iraq is just one more way our money is being frittered away to cause with no end.

Cartledge said...

TY Lew, at least someone agrees :)
Actually I push it so hard no one is game to dissagree.

Cartledge said...

Hope you have all their misdeeds note froggy. I want the list.